Swish kapena Miss: Udindo wa Kukondera kwa Data mu NCAA Basketball Predictions
Nyengo ya basketball yaku koleji ya 2023 yavala ngwazi ziwiri zosayembekezereka, ndipo magulu aamuna a LSU azimayi ndi a UConn atenga zikho ku Dallas ndi Houston, motsatana.
Ndikunena mosayembekezereka chifukwa, nyengo isanayambe, palibe gulu limodzi lomwe linkaganiziridwa kuti ndilopikisana nawo. Onse adapatsidwa mwayi wa 60-1 kuti apambane zonse, ndipo mavoti atolankhani ndi makochi sanali kuwapatsa ulemu waukulu.
Komabe, magulu akhala akutsimikizira masanjidwe ndi zisankho zolakwika kuyambira pomwe adabwera koyamba mu 1930s. Ndipo kukhala pamwamba pa masanjidwe sikutanthauza kuchita bwino.
Chiyambire kukula kwa mpikisano wa basketball ya amuna mu 1985, ndi magulu asanu ndi limodzi okha omwe adakhala nawo mu preseason No. 1 mu AP Poll adapambana mutuwo. Ndi pafupifupi themberero kuposa mdalitso pa nthawi imeneyo.
Kodi ndi angati mwa masanjidwe ndi mavoti omwe alipo?
Ngakhale tili ndi mwayi wopeza masanjidwe ambiri odziwika bwino kuchokera kwa atolankhani ngati Charlie Creme wa ESPN ndi Jeff Borzello, Andy Katz wa Big Ten Network, ndi Fox Sports 'John Fanta, pali mavoti atatu omwe akudziwika kwambiri.
Mkulu mwa iwo ndi AP Top 25 Poll yomwe tatchulayi, yopangidwa kuchokera ku gulu la atolankhani 61 amasewera ochokera kudera lonselo.
Ndiye muli ndi USA Today Coaches Poll yopangidwa ndi makochi 32 a Division I, m'modzi kuchokera kumisonkhano iliyonse yomwe imalandira mwayi wopita ku mpikisano wa NCAA. Ndipo chowonjezera chaposachedwa kwambiri ndi Student Media Poll, yomwe yatha ku Indiana University. Uwu ndi kafukufuku wa ovota atolankhani omwe amaphunzira masewera ku yunivesite yawo tsiku lililonse.
Magulu atatuwa onse aziyang'ana magulu omwe ali ndi njira zofanana, makamaka masewera amodzi asanaseweredwe. Popanda aliyense kugoletsa mfundo, atolankhani ndi makochi chimodzimodzi amayenera kugwiritsa ntchito zomwe zingapezeke ndikulosera kwawo koyambirira.
Nazi zina mwazofala kwambiri:
Zotsatira za season yapitayi
Zikupanga zomveka? Yemwe adachita bwino kwambiri nyengo yatha atha kukhalanso wabwino. Chabwino…pakati pa omaliza maphunziro, malo osinthira, ndi dziko la basketball limodzi ndi kuchitidwa, ma roster ambiri amakumana ndi kukonzanso kwakukulu munyengo yomaliza.
Timu ikafika pamwamba pamasanjidwe a preseason, zimakhala zovuta kuti asunga osewera awo ambiri. North Carolina - yemwe adaphonya mpikisano wa NCAA kwathunthu - adasankhidwa No.
zinachitikira
Veterans ndi ofunika kwambiri pamasewera aliwonse. Koma, mumasewera omwe ali ndi nyengo yayitali chotere - kupitilira masewera 30 pachaka - kuti mudutse, chidziwitso chimakhala chokulirapo.
Mpikisano wa basketball wa azimayi ku Iowa udapambana kwambiri pa mpikisanowu chaka chino. Kupitilira talente pagululi, asanu oyamba a Hawkeyes adasewera masewera 92 limodzi ngati oyambira. Izi sizikudziwika mumasewera amasiku ano.
N'zosadabwitsa kuti gulu lotere likhoza kuyendetsa mozama ndipo ndi chifukwa chachikulu Iowa anasankhidwa pakati pa No. 4 ndi No. 6 patsogolo pa nyengoyi.
Kalasi yamphamvu yolembera anthu ntchito
Mpira wa basketball, mwachidziwikire, ndi masewera omwe munthu watsopano amatha kukhala nawo. Malo ocheperako komanso kukwera kwa osewera okonzekera bwino kwawona zaka zambiri zoyamba kukhala zapamwamba kwambiri.
Ndipo zikuwonekera mu mavoti. Magulu asanu ndi atatu mwa magulu 10 olembera amuna omwe anali pamwamba adayimiridwa pamavoti onse atatu omwe akukonzekera nyengo isanayambe.
Chinthu cha nyenyezi
Osewera nthawi yayikulu ndi chifukwa chachikulu chomwe timawonera basketball yaku koleji. Magulu anayi apamwamba aamuna omwe akupita ku nyengoyi anali ndi mayina anayi akuluakulu mu ligi (Armando Bacot-North Carolina, Drew Timme-Gonzaga, Marcus Sasser-Houston, ndi Oscar Tshiebwe-Kentucky).
Wosewera wamkulu wadziko lonse wa Aliyah Boston's South Carolina anali pafupifupi nambala 1 pazisankho za amayi zomwe zisanachitike nyengo isanachitike, adapeza mavoti 85 mwa 88 omwe angakhale oyamba m'mavoti atatu onse.
Kodi mavoti amasiyana pati?
Atolankhani ndi makochi omwe ali ndi udindo pa masanjidwe adzagwiritsa ntchito kuphatikiza kwazinthu izi ndikuwonjezera malingaliro awo.
Mtolankhani kapena mtolankhani wophunzira yemwe amalemba za Big 12 tsiku ndi tsiku atha kuyika gulu la msonkhanowo mosiyana chifukwa amawona zokwezeka komanso zotsika. Ngati membala wadziko lonse akuyang'anitsitsa pambuyo pa kupambana kwakukulu, ndiye kuti akhoza kupitirira gululo.
Mwachitsanzo, Kevin McNamara anali ndi UConn wapamwamba kwambiri kuposa aliyense mu Preseason AP Poll ali ndi zaka 15. McNamara amayang'ana masewera ku New England kuchokera ku Providence, Rhode Island. Mpikisano wa basketball wa Providence uli ku Big East ndi UConn. Zikuoneka kuti akadawona ambiri a Huskies kuposa anzake ndipo amawoneka anzeru chifukwa cha izo.
Kumbali ina, mphunzitsi angakonde kukweza timu ngati timuyo ipambana gulu lawo. Zimapangitsa kuti timu ya mphunzitsiyo iwoneke bwino ngati kugonja kudzakhala kwa timu yamphamvu komanso kugwiritsa ntchito malingaliro akuti, "Chabwino, ayenera kukhala abwino ngati atimenya!"
Ngakhale kuti tonse tikugwira ntchito ndi deta yofanana poyang'ana magulu awa, sikuti nthawi zonse zimakhala zogwirizana. Munthu aliyense amene amavota pazisankhozi amabweretsa zomwe akumana nazo komanso zokondera kapena amayika kulemera kwake pazinthu zosiyanasiyana.
Ngakhale momwe tapitira patsogolo pakuvotera motsogozedwa ndi analytics, zolosera sizikuyenda bwino. KenPom yakhala mulingo wagolide pamasanjidwe a basketball kuchokera pamawerengero. Ili pakati pamagulu onse 363 a NCAA kutengera malire osinthika (kutengera kukhumudwitsa komanso chitetezo chokwanira pazachuma 100 ndi zomwe gulu lili nazo pamasewera).
KenPom anali, moyenerera, wosamala kwambiri ndi North Carolina, akuyika nambala 9 preseason. Koma, inali ndi UConn yotsika ngati aliyense, pa 27.
Kodi akatswiri athu adayikidwa pati mu preseason?
LSU- Coaches No. 14, AP No. 16, Student No. 17
UConn- Adalandira mavoti koma osasankhidwa onse atatu
Mosafunikira kunena, palibe amene anali kukonzekera gulu lachipambano ku Storrs kapena Baton Rouge kuchokera pakutulutsa koyambirira. Koma, monga ndidanenera koyambirira, magulu akhala akutsimikizira masanjidwe ndi mavoti olakwika kuyambira pomwe adabwera.
Iwo amawulula malingaliro olakwika omwe ofufuza amakhala nawo okhudza timu yawo komanso zomwe zimafunika kuti apambane mpikisano.
