Swish kana Miss: Basa reData Bias muNCAA Basketball Predictions
Mwaka wa2023 wekoreji basketball mwaka wakashongedza korona mbiri dzisingatarisirwe shasha, nezvikwata zvevarume zveLSU zvevakadzi neUConn zvakasimudza mikombe muDallas neHouston, zvichiteerana.
Ndinotaura zvisingatarisirwi nekuti, mwaka usati watanga, hapana kana chimwe chezvikwata izvi chaifungidzirwa kuti chiri kukwikwidza. Vese vakapihwa 60-1 mukana wekuhwina chinhu chose, uye vezvenhau nevarairidzi sarudzo dzanga dzisiri kuvapa ruremekedzo rwakanyanya.
Zvakadaro, zvikwata zvanga zvichiratidza kuti masaisai uye polls hazvina kunaka kubvira pavakatanga kuuya kuma1930s. Uye kuva atop rankings hakuvimbisi kubudirira.
Kubva pakawedzera makwikwi ebasketball evarume muna 1985, zvikwata zvitanhatu chete ndizvo zvakatora preseason Nhamba 1 muAP Poll ndizvo zvakahwina zita iri. Chinenge chiri chituko pane chikomborero panguva iyoyo.
Mangani ezvirongwa izvi uye sarudzo dziri kunze uko?
Kunyangwe tichikwanisa kuwana kuwanda kwenzvimbo dzinotariswa zvakanaka kubva kune vatori venhau vega vakaita seESPN's Charlie Creme naJeff Borzello, Big Ten Network's Andy Katz, uye Fox Sports 'John Fanta, pane sarudzo nhatu dziri kuzivikanwa zvakanyanya.
Mukuru pakati pavo ndeyambotaurwa pamusoro peAP Top 25 Poll, yakagadzirwa kubva muboka revatapi venhau vemitambo makumi matanhatu nemumwe kubva munyika yose.
Ipapo iwe une USA Nhasi Coaches Poll ine 32 Division I misoro yevarairidzi, mumwe kubva kune yega yega makonferensi anogamuchira otomatiki bhidhi kumakwikwi eNCAA. Uye iyo nyowani yekuwedzera ndeye Student Media Poll, inopera muIndiana University. Iyi isarudzo yevadzidzi vevatori venhau vanovhota vanovhara mitambo payunivhesiti yavo zuva nezuva.
Aya mapoka matatu achatarisa zvikwata zvine maitiro akafanana, kunyanya mutambo mumwe chete usati watambwa. Pasina chero munhu anohwina poindi, midhiya nevarairidzi zvakafanana vanofanirwa kushandisa iyo data inowanikwa uye kuita fungidziro yavo yekutanga.
Heano mamwe eanonyanyozivikanwa:
Zvabuda zvemwaka wapfuura
Zvine musoro here? Ani nani anga ari nani mwaka wadarika angangove akanaka. Zvakanaka ... pakati pekupedza kudzidza, iyo portal yekufambisa, uye nyika yebhasiketi-uye-yakaitwa, marosta mazhinji anosangana nekugadziridzwa kwakakosha mumwaka wekunze.
Kana timu ikarova pamusoro pezvirongwa zvepreseason, zvinonetsa ndezvekuti vakachengeta vatambi vavo vakakosha. North Carolina - iyo yakapotsa makwikwi eNCAA zvachose - yakasarudzwa Nha. 1 kune ese matatu esarudzo preseason mushure mekupedza semumhanyi-up muna 2022 uye kudzosa vana vanotanga.
ruzivo
Veterans vakakosha kune chero mutambo. Asi, mumutambo une mwaka wakareba kudaro - unopfuura mitambo makumi matatu pagore - kuti upfuure, ruzivo rwakakura.
Basketball yevakadzi yeIowa yakaita mujaho wayo wakareba-kare mumakwikwi gore rino. Kupfuura tarenda pachikwata, maHawkeyes ekutanga mashanu akatamba mitambo ye92 pamwechete sevatangi. Izvi hazvisati zvamboitika mumutambo wanhasi.
Hazvishamisi kuti boka rakadaro rinogona kuita zvakadzika kumhanya uye ndicho chikonzero chikuru Iowa yakasarudzwa pakati peNo. 4 neNo. 6 pamberi pemwaka.
Yakasimba kirasi yekunyoresa
Basketball, zvine nharo, mutambo wepamhepo uko munhu mutsva anogona kuve nemhedzisiro yakanyanya. Nzvimbo dzakaganhurirwa uye kusimuka kwevatambi vakagadzirira-vakaona makore mazhinji ekutanga achive mashura ekare.
Uye inoratidzwa mumavhoti. Makirasi masere epamusoro-gumi evarume ekupinza basa akamiririrwa musarudzo nhatu dzese dzepamberi pemwaka.
Chinhu chenyeredzi
Vatambi venguva huru ndicho chikonzero chikuru chatinoona koreji basketball. Zvikwata zvina zvepamusoro zvevarume zviri kuenda mumwaka zvino zvine mazita mana makuru muligi (Armando Bacot-North Carolina, Drew Timme-Gonzaga, Marcus Sasser-Houston, naOscar Tshiebwe-Kentucky).
Mutambi wenyika wegore Aliyah Boston's South Carolina angangove nhamba imwe chete musarudzo dzevakadzi dzepamberi pemwaka, akawana makumi masere neshanu kubva pamakumi masere nemasere ekutanga mavhoti pasarudzo nhatu idzi.
Sarudzo dzinosiyana papi?
Vatori venhau uye varairidzi vane basa rezviyero vachashandisa kumwe kusanganiswa kwezvinhu izvi vachiwedzera mamwe ekufunga kwavo.
Mutori wenhau kana mutori wenhau wevadzidzi anovhara Big 12 zuva nezuva anogona kuisa timu kubva kumusangano iwoyo zvakasiyana nekuti vanogona kuona zvese zvakakwirira uye zvakaderera. Kana nhengo yenhau yenyika ichingoteerera mushure mekukunda kukuru, vangangokwanisa kupfuudza timu iyoyo.
Semuyenzaniso, Kevin McNamara aive neUConn wepamusoro-soro pane ani zvake mupreseason AP Poll pa15. McNamara anovhara mitambo muNew England based out of Providence, Rhode Island. Providence men's basketball iri muBig East neUConn. Zvichida angadai akaona mamwe maHuskies kupfuura vamwe vake uye anotarisa akachenjera nekuda kwayo.
Kune rimwe divi, murairidzi angada kukwidziridza chikwata kana timu yacho ikakunda chikwata chavo. Zvinoita kuti chikwata chemurairidzi chitaridzike zvirinani kana kukundwa kuri kuchikwata chakasimba ukuwo vachishandisa pfungwa yekuti, “Zvakanaka, vanofanira kunge vakanaka kana vakatirova!”
Kunyangwe isu tese tiri kushanda neakawanda data rakafanana kana tichitarisa zvikwata izvi, hazvisi nguva dzose kubvumirana kwakazara. Munhu wega wega anovhota pasarudzo idzi anounza ruzivo rwake uye rusaruro kana kuisa huremu hwavo pazvinhu zvakasiyana.
Kunyangwe isu takasvetukira mberi mukuvhota-inotungamirwa, kufanotaura hakuna kunyanya kubudirira. KenPom yave iyo yegoridhe chiyero mubhasiketi renji kubva kuhuwandu. Iyo inomiririra ese 363 NCAA zvikwata zvinoenderana neyakagadziriswa mashandiro emuganho (zvichienderana nekugumbura uye kudzivirira kunyatsoshanda pane zana uye zvinhu zvechikwata pamutambo).
KenPom yaive, nenzira kwayo, yakangwarira North Carolina, ichiisa nhamba ye9 preseason. Asi, yaive neUConn yakaderera semunhu wese, pa27.
Shasha dzedu dzaive papi preseason?
LSU- Varairidzi Nhamba 14, AP Nha. 16, Mudzidzi Nhamba 17
UConn- Akagamuchira mavhoti asi asina kusarudzwa mumatatu ese
Hazvina mhosva kutaura, hapana aigadzirira mutambo wekukunda muStorrs kana Baton Rouge kubva pakuburitswa kwesarudzo. Asi, sezvandambotaura pakutanga, zvikwata zvanga zvichiratidza kuti masaisai nemavhoti hazvina kunaka kubvira pavakatanga kuuya.
Vanofumura dzimwe pfungwa dzisiridzo dzavanadzo nevanoongorora nezvechikwata chavo nezvavanoda kuti vahwine mukwikwidzi.
